True inflation may have peaked in late 2022 — at 18% — and still hovers around 8%
“Consumer borrowing costs in the U.S. have skyrocketed, but the CPI doesn’t count this. ” There are widely divergent perspectives between Wall Street, where exuberance...
Lunar New Year 2024: What history says about stock market, gold in Year of the Dragon
The Year of the Dragon usually promises a tapestry of prosperity and strength for the U.S. stock market, suggesting the recent rally that has brought...
Inflation is falling but interest rates are going to stay higher for longer. Way longer.
Even with the recent partial retreat in long-term real and nominal interest rates, they remain well above the ultra-low levels to which policymakers had grown...
Opinion: The Fed says don’t worry about U.S. banks, but why should anyone believe them?
The aftershocks of the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), while seemingly fading, are still reverberating around the world. Although Federal Reserve officials have taken...
Opinion: ‘Most U.S. banks are technically near insolvency, and hundreds are already fully insolvent,’ Roubini says
In January 2022, when yields on U.S. 10-year Treasury bonds TMUBMUSD10Y, 3.511% were still roughly 1% and those on German Bunds were -0.5%, I warned that inflation would be bad...
Opinion: The end of the ‘everything bubble’ has finally hit the banking system. Credit Suisse and SVB might be just the first of many shocks.
Major financial market regime changes typically take place in stages. The crypto meltdown in 2022, for example, incurred about $2 trillion of losses. The technology...
Opinion: The stock market’s rally was a head fake and the smart money now is with the bears
The stock market, as measured by the S&P 500 Index SPX, +0.53%, has fallen below the 4100 level. That is significant because there previously was...
Opinion: No ‘soft landing’ is in the cards from Fed rate hikes. Look for recession and a buying opportunity once stock prices decline.
Is the bear market of 2022 over? Are we already in the early innings of the next great bull market? The S&P 500 SPX, -0.16%...
‘From Bambi to Godzilla.’ Strategist David Rosenberg skewers the Federal Reserve as he sees a 30% hit to home prices and the S&P 500 returning to an early 2020 low
The last time David Rosenberg shared his outlook for the U.S. stock market and the economy with MarketWatch, in late May, it was depressing enough....
This U.S. pension plan faces a bigger crisis than the U.K.’s
Could the U.S. pensions behemoth be hit by the kind of crisis that just swept across the U. K.? Don’t bet on it, says ratings...