Final Capitulation — 5 reasons why Bitcoin could bottom at $10,000 By Cointelegraph


Final Capitulation — 5 reasons why Bitcoin could bottom at $10,000

Bear markets have historically been challenging to navigate for traders and the conventional set of “reliable” indicators that determine good entry points are unable to predict how long a crypto winter might last.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent recovery back above the psychologically important price level of $20,000 was a sign to many traders that the bottom was in, but a deeper dive into the data suggests that the short-term relief rally might not be enough proof of a macro-level trend change.

price normalized since all-time high (Current vs. 2017 peak) source: Delphi Digital
price percent drawdown (current vs. prior ATH). Source: Delphi Digital
BTC/USD weekly price vs. 14-week RSI. Source: Delphi Digital
BTC/USD price vs. 200-week SMA and 14-week RSI. Source: Delphi Digital
Crypto Fear & Greed Index. Source: Alternative
BTC/USD vs. Fed funds rate vs. Fed balance sheet. Source: Delphi Digital
BTC/USD price vs. percentage of supply in profit. Source: Delphi Digital