US Producer Price Index Cools To 9.8% YoY In July As M2 Money Growth Cools And Recession Probability Increases – Confounded Interest – Anthony B. Sanders

Somehow I doubt if Biden, Harris and Jean-Pierre (Biden’s Press Secretary) will go on the talk show circuit talking about the Producer Price Index Final Demand at 9.8% YoY, meaning that inflation is still raging.

But the curious thing about the PPI Final Demand numbers. While lower than June’s reading of 11.3% YoY, it also coincides with declining gasoline prices and declining growth in M2 Money stock. Which is still growing at 5.9% YoY. The probability of recession is rising (even though technically the US is in recession after 2 consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth.

Here is the more striking chart.

So is the US “improving” on prices because of brilliant Biden strategies (I just laughed at my own “bon mot”)? Or are prices (PPI, gasoline) slowing because of declining demand as the US slips into recession?

Lawrence Summers was once again in the news saying that the way to cool inflation is to raises taxes (and cool demand). Only a true Statist would say something like that. Larry, how about Biden and Congress stop spending so much money that is helping to fuel inflation?

One Washington DC types would rest their hopes on cooling inflation by having the US slip into recession AND raises taxes.

Biden looking for a way out.