No respite for the Fed on high inflation

Bloomberg/Editorial Board/10-17-2022

graphic image of a lion unwilling to jump through hoops

“If the Federal Reserve was hoping for some sign that inflation is subsiding, it was cruelly disabused by the latest figures for consumer prices. …The message was clear: Far from relaxing its recent pace of monetary tightening, the Fed might have to raise interest rates faster and further than expected.”

USAGOLD note: Given the current configuration of the yield on the !0-year Treasury versus the current inflation rate, it is difficult to believe that the Fed will get ahead of the curve anytime soon. Many analysts believe that the trigger for a pivot will be a credit event instigated by tight monetary policy, rather than a sharp turnaround on the inflation front. Bloomberg advises a Fed that honesty is the best policy – as a means to restoring its flagging credibility. Whether or not the it can or will jump through that hoop remains to be seen.

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